New figures come after Angela Rayner says “slim chance” of meeting housebuilding goal

The government’s housing delivery estimate for England fell 5.6% to 196,900 homes in 2025/26, suggesting it is at risk of missing its 1.5 million-home target by a third.

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To achieve Labour’s housebuilding ambitions, an average 300,000 homes would have to be delivered in England each year of this parliament.

The Ministry of Housing has estimated that 437,900 homes have been built between the start of parliament in July 2024 and 20 September 2026. If housebuilding continues at the current pace, England would be on track to deliver fewer than one million homes by summer 2029.

The figure for the 2025/26 financial year is down from 208,600 in 2024/25.

Earlier this month, Angela Rayner told the BBC there is a “slim chance” the government will meet its housebuilding target, citing “headwinds” including the Iran war and rising construction costs.

In the latest statistical release, it is estimated that the private sector built 71% of new dwellings in 2024/25, while housing associations delivered 25% and local authorities 4%.

Meanwhile, the number of homes granted planning permission during the year to June 2026 was 212,000, down 12% from 2025.