Development by large London housing associations to fall by a third, G15 warns

The largest developing housing associations in London have warned their development output could drop by a third unless they receive extra government support.

The G15 group, whose members collectively built 11,600 homes in 2021/22, have warned that restrictions to rent rises, increased borrowing costs, and the need to divert money towards improving existing homes and meeting building safety requirements mean future development is likely to fall sharply.

The group, which manages 770,000 homes, warns that a previous three-year rent freeze, plus a seven per cent rent cap, agreed shared ownership rent caps and the scrapping of rules on rent convergence – under which association rents are brought into line with council rents - has led to a £6.6bn loss in investment since 2016.

It says a further £12.4bn in “reinvestable resources” will be lost over the course of members’ 30-year business plans.

The G15, in its submission to the levelling up, housing and communities committee’s inquiry into social housing sector finances, warned that many of its members will reduce development spend to prioritise investment in improvements to existing properties.

Housing associations are facing pressure to invest in improving existing properties, with the Social Housing Regulation Bill imposing new consumer rules from next year, alongside the need to invest in retrofit and meeting building safety standards.

The G15 is calling for the government to introduce a raft of measures to support associations to build.

Its asks include a long-term rent settlement for the sector, grant funding for regeneration, rules requiring the release of land for affordable housing and the removal of VAT on housing association activity (see box below).

Geeta Nanda, chair of the G15 and chief executive of Metropolitan Thames Valley, said associations’ “capacity is being put under growing pressure” due to funding costs and rent caps.

She said: “We need a proper conversation about how the priorities we all share are going to be achieved in the coming years.

“Investment in existing homes is rightly the first priority, but without housing associations’ contribution to building new affordable homes, issues like overcrowding aren’t going to be dealt with, which in turn impact the conditions of existing homes.

“It’s too simplistic to suggest we can pick investment in existing homes over new build – we need both.”

>> See also: Can housing associations keep development going as the rest of the market slows?

>> See also: Can ‘for-profit’ providers rescue affordable housebuilding?

Nanda said a long-term plan for social housing is “desperately needed.”

She said: “Housing associations build almost 1 in 4 new homes, and if we reduce our programmes to meet costs like building safety and retrofit, I am really worried that the gap won’t be filled and it’s people in dire housing need that will suffer.”

The G15 is a supporter of Housing Today’s A Fair Deal for Housing campaign calling for the government to re-commit to building 300,000 homes a year. The campaign is calling for solutions to enable the entire housebuilding sector, including housing associations, to build more homes.